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April 16

The political stakes of Trump's hush money trial

How this trial could impact the 2024 campaign.
April 16
VIDEO: The political stakes of Trump's hush money trial
April 14

What the polls say about Trump's hush money trial

About half of Americans think he's guilty. That likely won't matter in November.
April 14
In this April 4, 2023, file photo, former President Donald Trump sits with his attorneys inside the courtroom during his arraignment at the Manhattan Criminal Court in New York.
April 11

What's up with the kids these days?

Young voters showed up for Biden in 2020. Will they in 2024?
April 11
VIDEO: What's up with the kids these days?
April 11

It's really hard to change Electoral College rules

Nebraska Republicans are only the latest to try and fail.
April 11
Nebraska Republicans have pushed to change the state's Electoral College system
April 10

The less you vote, the more you back Trump

A new poll suggests it's Republicans who should be rooting for higher turnout.
April 10
Idahoans at the polling location for precinct 1712, All Saints Episcopal Church, cast their ballots on Election Day in 2022 in Boise.
April 09

Biden has forgiven billions in student loans. Voters may not have noticed.

After an expansive plan was struck down, he focused on targeted initiatives.
April 09
Will President Joe Biden get credit for canceling billions in student loans?
April 09

Tim Scott is the leading Trump VP contender

Plus, the solar eclipse polling you thought you knew.
April 09
VIDEO: Tim Scott is the leading Trump VP contender
April 08

Do Americans agree with Trump on abortion?

Test your knowledge of public sentiment on abortion, IVF and more.
April 08
What do Americans think about abortion and reproductive rights?
April 05

Why it always feels like the government is about to shut down

Congress routinely uses stopgap bills to punt funding deadlines.
April 05
In this Dec. 12, 2023, file photo, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer, and Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, attend an event in the U.S. Capitol, in Washington, D.C.
April 04

Where will people commune in a godless America?

Religious decline has happened fast. It means fewer places for connection.
April 04
VIDEO: Where will people commune in a godless America?
April 04

See how demographic swings could impact the 2024 election

538's new Swing-O-Matic shows which states could flip under different scenarios.
April 04
Explore possible 2024 election outcomes with 538's Swing-O-Matic interactive
April 02

When will Trump make his VP pick?

Running mates have historically been announced in July or August.
April 02
Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump leaves the stage at the conclusion of a campaign rally, Mar. 9, 2024, in Rome, Georgia.
April 02

The presidential election has become an unpopularity contest

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are both underwater in the polls with the American public.
April 02
VIDEO: The presidential election has become an unpopularity contest
April 01

Have Americans ever hated two candidates as much as Biden and Trump?

Why favorability might not matter in the 2024 presidential election.
April 01
Donald Trump and Joe Biden are two of the most unpopular presidential candidates in modern history
March 28

Are US politics undergoing a racial realignment? | 538 Politics Podcast

Some voters of color are challenging traditional voter alliances.
March 28
VIDEO: Are US politics undergoing a racial realignment?
March 28

Could Larry Hogan turn a blue Senate seat red in Maryland?

Personal appeal rarely overrides partisanship these days.
March 28
Maryland Governor Larry Hogan holds a news conference on the state's Covid-19 situation, at the Maryland State Capitol on August 5, 2021, in Annapolis, Maryland.
March 27

States are cracking down on deepfakes ahead of the 2024 election

But they might be missing the most concerning threats.
March 27
March 26

Is an election vibe shift underway? | 538 Politics Podcast

Biden's approval rating is up, and Trump's favorability rating is down.
March 26
VIDEO: Is an election vibe shift underway?
March 25

Who said it: Biden, Trump or someone from 'The Bachelor'?

We quizzed the 538 staff with 12 quotes about finding love — or votes.
March 25
We quizzed the 538 staff with 12 quotes about finding love — or votes.
March 21

538 Debate Club: Should TikTok be banned? | 538 Politics Podcast

The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 21
The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 18

How worried should Democrats be about the polls? | 538 Politics Podcast

Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 18
Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 14

Do campaign stops actually matter? | 538 Politics Podcast

Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 14
Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 11

Does Gen Z really care more about that viral TikTok than politics?

What is (and isn't) motivating young voters today.
March 11
What is (and isn't) motivating young voters today.
March 08

A very political State of the Union | 538 Politics Podcast

Biden highlighted the top 2024 campaign issues in his address to the nation.
March 08
Biden highlighted the top 2024 campaign issues in his address to the nation.
March 06

Super Tuesday brings a couple surprises | 538 Politics Podcast

Trump dominates but Haley pulls off win in Vermont.
March 06
Trump dominates but Haley pulls off win in Vermont.
March 04

What to watch for on Super Tuesday | 538 Politics Podcast

Plus, how Trump is tightening his grip on the GOP.
March 04
Plus, how Trump is tightening his grip on the GOP.

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